Steelers vs. Falcons Betting and Fantasy stats pack to give you the edge in Week 1 of the NFL.
Kirk Cousins will lead the Falcons under center, with Michael Penix ready to step in if Cousins encounters any setbacks as he returns from a torn Achilles. Meanwhile, the Russell Wilson reclamation project in Pittsburgh kicks off, with Justin Fields waiting in the wings for an opportunity.
Raheem Morris, a long-time defensive coach, is now the head coach of the Falcons. He takes over a team that has struggled to generate offense in recent seasons despite having many weapons on that side of the ball. Morris’ challenge will be finding the right balance to turn that talent into points.
Arthur Smith, formerly the Falcons’ head coach, is now the Steelers’ offensive coordinator. Despite a talented roster in Atlanta, Smith had his share of struggles. It will be interesting to see how he adapts to a less star-studded offense in Pittsburgh.
Here are the key fantasy and betting stats for Steelers vs. Falcons:
Steelers vs. Falcons Week 1 Betting and Fantasy Stats Pack
Steelers’ Key Team Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Penalty Differential |
Steelers committed 22 fewer penalties than opponents (3rd best in NFL). |
Steelers’ Key Quarterback Stats
| Player |
Stat |
| Russell Wilson |
Held the ball longer than average 46.5% of the time (2nd only to Justin Fields at 54.3%). |
| Desmond Ridder |
Ranked 11th in quick-release throws for Arthur Smith’s offense last season. |
Steelers’ Key Offensive Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Pass Rate Over Expectation |
Steelers ranked 30th in 2023, while Falcons ranked 32nd. Arthur Smith brought his playbook from Atlanta to Pittsburgh. |
Steelers’ Key Defensive Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Blitz Rate & Passer Rating |
In 2023, the Steelers ranked 10th in blitz rate and opponent passer rating. Cousins’ struggles against blitz could be a factor (2nd in completion percentage when not blitzed, 22nd when blitzed). |
Steelers’ Key Fantasy Stats
| Player |
Stat |
| George Pickens |
When targeted 8+ times: 19.3 PPR PPG and 32.3% fantasy production over expectation. |
Steelers’ Key Fantasy Stats (2023, Weeks 1-18)
| Category |
Stat |
| Production Averages |
|
| Points (PTS) |
17.9 |
| Plays (Plays per Game) |
60.5 |
| Position Ranks |
|
| Quarterback (QB) |
28th |
| Running Back (RB) |
9th |
| Wide Receiver (WR) |
25th |
| Tight End (TE) |
29th |
| Run vs. Pass Averages |
|
| Runs per Game |
28.6 |
| Run % |
47% |
| Passes per Game |
31.9 |
| Pass % |
53% |
| Target Breakdown |
|
| RB Target % |
24% |
| WR Target % |
57% |
| TE Target % |
19% |
This table summarizes offensive and defensive stats, production averages, and positional ranks, providing a comprehensive view of fantasy production for 2023 (Weeks 1-18).
Steelers’ Key Running Back Fantasy, Rushing, and Receiving Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
ATT% |
YD% |
TD% |
TGT% |
REC% |
YDS% |
TD% |
| RB1 |
Najee Harris |
17 |
53% |
10.6 |
52% |
51% |
50% |
8% |
9% |
5% |
0% |
| RB2 |
Jaylen Warren |
17 |
48% |
9.8 |
31% |
39% |
25% |
15% |
19% |
11% |
0% |
| RB3 |
Anthony McFarland Jr. |
3 |
1% |
0.7 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
| RB4 |
Qadree Ollison |
2 |
1% |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Steelers’ Key Wide Receiver Fantasy, Receiving, and Rushing Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
TGT% |
REC% |
YDS% |
TD% |
ATT% |
YD% |
TD% |
| WR1 |
George Pickens |
17 |
87% |
10.4 |
22% |
20% |
33% |
38% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
| WR2 |
Diontae Johnson |
13 |
71% |
9.8 |
18% |
16% |
21% |
38% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR3 |
Allen Robinson II |
17 |
72% |
2.6 |
10% |
11% |
8% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR4 |
Calvin Austin III |
17 |
35% |
2.6 |
6% |
5% |
5% |
8% |
2% |
3% |
6% |
| WR5 |
Miles Boykin |
17 |
11% |
0.2 |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR6 |
Gunner Olszewski |
2 |
2% |
-1.8 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Steelers’ Key Tight End Fantasy, Receiving, and Rushing Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
TGT% |
REC% |
YDS% |
TD% |
ATT% |
YD% |
TD% |
| TE1 |
Pat Freiermuth |
12 |
58% |
5.1 |
10% |
10% |
9% |
15% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE2 |
Connor Heyward |
17 |
38% |
1.7 |
7% |
7% |
5% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE3 |
Darnell Washington |
17 |
48% |
0.6 |
2% |
2% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE4 |
Rodney Williams |
13 |
7% |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Steelers’ Key Betting Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Road Cover Rate |
Steelers have the highest cover rate on the road over the past two seasons (64.7%). |
| 2023 Game Breakdown |
Steelers 10-8 ATS in 2023. Strong in division games (5-1 ATS) and after a bye (1-0 ATS). |
Steelers’ Key 2023 Betting Trends
| Situation |
ATS Record |
Cover % |
MOV (Margin of Victory) |
ATS +/- (Against the Spread Differential) |
| After a Bye |
1-0 |
100.0% |
+7.0 |
+10.5 |
| Division Games |
5-1 |
83.3% |
+7.3 |
+8.5 |
| After a Loss |
5-2 |
71.4% |
+3.4 |
+3.5 |
| As Away Favorite |
2-1 |
66.7% |
-3.7 |
-6.3 |
| With Rest Disadvantage |
2-1 |
66.7% |
+0.3 |
+1.5 |
| As Home Underdog |
3-2 |
60.0% |
+0.2 |
+2.8 |
| Non-Conference Games |
3-2 |
60.0% |
-3.8 |
-3.8 |
| With Rest Advantage |
3-2 |
60.0% |
-2.6 |
+0.6 |
| Regular Season Games |
10-7 |
58.8% |
-1.2 |
-1.0 |
| As Favorite |
4-3 |
57.1% |
-2.9 |
-6.4 |
| All Games |
10-8 |
55.6% |
-1.9 |
-1.2 |
| As Home Team |
5-4 |
55.6% |
-0.9 |
-1.3 |
| As Away Team |
5-4 |
55.6% |
-2.9 |
-1.1 |
| As Underdog |
6-5 |
54.5% |
-1.3 |
+2.1 |
| Conference Games |
7-6 |
53.8% |
-1.2 |
-0.2 |
| After a Win |
5-5 |
50.0% |
-3.5 |
-2.4 |
| As Home Favorite |
2-2 |
50.0% |
-2.3 |
-6.5 |
| As Away Underdog |
3-3 |
50.0% |
-2.5 |
+1.6 |
| With Equal Rest |
5-5 |
50.0% |
-2.2 |
-2.9 |
| Non-Division Games |
5-7 |
41.7% |
-6.5 |
-6.0 |
| Playoff Games |
0-1 |
0.0% |
-14.0 |
-4.0 |
Key Definitions:
- ATS Record: Against the Spread record (Wins-Losses-Pushes).
- Cover %: The percentage of games where the Steelers covered the spread.
- MOV: Margin of Victory, indicating how many points the Steelers won or lost on average in each situation.
- ATS +/-: The difference between the actual result and the spread, showing how much the Steelers exceeded or fell short of the spread.
Check out Eagles vs. Packers Week 1 Betting and Fantasy Stats Pack!
Falcons Key Team Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Falcons’ 7-Win Seasons |
Falcons have won exactly 7 games in 5 of the past 6 seasons (only 2 other teams have 3+ such seasons, 15 teams have 0). |
Falcons Key Quarterback Stats
| Player |
Stat |
| Kirk Cousins |
Ranked 3rd in Passer Rating when trailing last season (109.8), behind only Lamar Jackson and C.J. Stroud. |
Falcons’ Key Offensive Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Goal-to-Go TD Conversion Rate |
Falcons converted just 48.1% of goal-to-go drives into TDs last season (league average: 71.5%). |
Falcons’ Key Defensive Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Rush Defense & Red Zone Defense |
Falcons ranked 1st in defensive rush EPA on first downs and 4th in red zone defense last season. |
| RB Scores Allowed |
Falcons allowed just 5 TDs on 390 RB carries, the lowest in the NFL and lowest by any NFC team in the past decade. |
Falcons Key Fantasy Stats
| Player |
Stat |
| Kyle Pitts |
Scored 176.6 PPR points as a rookie, but only totaled 212.9 PPR points over the past two seasons combined. |
Falcons 2023 ATS Trends
| Situation |
ATS Record |
Cover % |
MOV (Margin of Victory) |
ATS +/- |
| After A Bye |
1-0-0 |
100.0% |
+9.0 |
+10.5 |
| As Home Underdog |
1-0-0 |
100.0% |
+9.0 |
+10.5 |
| Division Games |
3-3-0 |
50.0% |
-1.8 |
-1.8 |
| With Rest Disadvantage |
2-2-0 |
50.0% |
+2.8 |
+0.6 |
| Non-Conference Games |
2-3-0 |
40.0% |
+1.0 |
-0.3 |
| As Home Team |
3-5-0 |
37.5% |
+3.8 |
+1.7 |
| After A Loss |
3-6-0 |
33.3% |
-2.3 |
-2.6 |
| As Underdog |
2-4-0 |
33.3% |
-11.5 |
-8.8 |
| All Games |
5-12-0 |
29.4% |
-3.1 |
-3.7 |
| Regular Season Games |
5-12-0 |
29.4% |
-3.1 |
-3.7 |
| As Home Favorite |
2-5-0 |
28.6% |
+3.0 |
+0.4 |
| As Favorite |
3-8-0 |
27.3% |
+1.5 |
-0.9 |
| As Away Team |
2-6-0 |
25.0% |
-8.3 |
-7.9 |
| As Away Favorite |
1-3-0 |
25.0% |
-1.0 |
-3.3 |
| As Away Underdog |
1-3-0 |
25.0% |
-15.5 |
-12.6 |
| Conference Games |
3-9-0 |
25.0% |
-4.8 |
-5.1 |
| With Equal Rest |
3-10-0 |
23.1% |
-4.8 |
-5.0 |
| Non-Division Games |
2-9-0 |
18.2% |
-3.7 |
-4.7 |
| After A Win |
1-6-0 |
14.3% |
-6.4 |
-7.1 |
| At Neutral Site |
0-1-0 |
0.0% |
-16.0 |
-13.0 |
Falcons’ Key Betting Stats
| Category |
Stat |
| Kirk Cousins (ATS Record) |
1-7 Against the Spread (ATS) in his past 8 indoor games. His past 4 indoor games all hit the under. |
Falcons’ Quarterback Fantasy, Passing, and Rushing Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
Pass ATT |
CMP |
CMP% |
Pass YDS |
Pass TDs |
Rush ATT |
Rush YDS |
Rush TDs |
| QB1 |
Taylor Heinicke |
5 |
24% |
14.0 |
27.2 |
14.8 |
54% |
178 |
1 |
15 |
124 |
1 |
| QB2 |
Desmond Ridder |
15 |
75% |
12.6 |
25.9 |
16.6 |
64% |
189.1 |
0.8 |
53 |
193 |
5 |
| QB3 |
Logan Woodside |
1 |
1% |
0.7 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
75% |
27 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
Falcons’ Running Back Fantasy, Rushing, and Receiving Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
ATT% |
YD% |
TD% (Rushing) |
TGT% |
REC% |
YDS% |
TD% (Receiving) |
| RB1 |
Bijan Robinson |
17 |
68% |
12.8 |
41% |
45% |
29% |
17% |
18% |
13% |
24% |
| RB2 |
Tyler Allgeier |
17 |
32% |
7.6 |
36% |
32% |
29% |
5% |
6% |
5% |
6% |
| RB3 |
Cordarrelle Patterson |
14 |
16% |
2.3 |
10% |
8% |
0% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
6% |
| RB4 |
Keith Smith |
13 |
20% |
0.4 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
| RB5 |
Godwin Igwebuike |
2 |
1% |
0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Falcons’ Wide Receiver Fantasy, Receiving, and Rushing Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
TGT% |
REC% |
YDS% |
TD% (Receiving) |
ATT% |
YD% |
TD% (Rushing) |
| WR1 |
Drake London |
16 |
76% |
8.7 |
22% |
21% |
24% |
12% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR2 |
Mack Hollins |
13 |
31% |
2.6 |
6% |
6% |
7% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR3 |
Scotty Miller |
17 |
24% |
2.0 |
3% |
3% |
4% |
12% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR4 |
KhaDarel Hodge |
17 |
33% |
1.8 |
5% |
4% |
6% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR5 |
Van Jefferson |
12 |
45% |
1.3 |
6% |
4% |
3% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR6 |
Damiere Byrd |
1 |
28% |
0.0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| WR7 |
Chris Blair |
1 |
15% |
0.0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Falcons’ Tight End Fantasy, Receiving, and Rushing Stats (2023)
| POS |
Player |
GP |
SNP% |
PTS |
TGT% |
REC% |
YDS% |
TD% (Receiving) |
ATT% |
YD% |
TD% (Rushing) |
| TE1 |
Kyle Pitts |
17 |
64% |
6.5 |
18% |
16% |
18% |
18% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE2 |
Jonnu Smith |
17 |
58% |
5.8 |
14% |
15% |
15% |
18% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE3 |
MyCole Pruitt |
17 |
36% |
1.3 |
2% |
3% |
3% |
6% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE4 |
John FitzPatrick |
10 |
2% |
0.2 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE5 |
Tucker Fisk |
6 |
19% |
0.2 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| TE6 |
Parker Hesse |
3 |
26% |
0.0 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
