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Memphis vs. Florida State Betting Preview, Prediction, & Best Bets Week 3 College Football

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Memphis vs. Florida State Betting Preview for this Week 3 matchup as the Seminoles are surprisingly still searching for their first win in 2024. 

The Florida State Seminoles’ 2024 season has taken an unexpected and disastrous turn. Once ranked in the Top 10, the Seminoles have fallen out of the Top 25 after back-to-back losses. They opened with a narrow 24-21 defeat to Georgia Tech, followed by a disappointing 28-13 home loss to Boston College, leaving them searching for answers.

Meanwhile, the Memphis Tigers enter this matchup at 2-0, having easily handled two weaker opponents. Now, Memphis looks to capitalize on Florida State’s struggles and notch their first marquee win of the season. For Florida State head coach Mike Norvell, this game offers a chance to rebound against his former program.

Let’s break down the betting odds and give our score prediction for this pivotal Memphis vs. Florida State contest.

Memphis vs. Florida State Betting Preview

  • Spread
    Florida State -7
  • Moneyline
    Memphis +220 / Florida State -270
  • Over/Under
    52
  • Game time
    Noon ET
  • Location
    Doak Campbell Stadium | Tallahassee, Fla.
  • Predicted Weather at Kick
    84 degrees, Partly Cloudy
  • How To Watch
    ESPN

Check out our Week 3 Betting Previews & Best Bets!

Prediction for Memphis vs. Florida State

At this point in the season, betting on Florida State feels risky, given their back-to-back losses. However, the key to successful wagers is finding value, and there may be some value with the Seminoles here.

Had this line been available back in July, Florida State would likely have been favored by around -24 points. While they’ve underperformed in 2024, it’s worth considering whether Georgia Tech and Boston College are simply better teams than expected. Both display strong quarterback play and surprisingly stout defenses.

Both are going to be tough in the ACC in 2024 and beyond.

Another factor is Mike Norvell, a solid coach who knows the Memphis program inside and out. Norvell built Memphis into a contender, leading them to a 12-2 season and a Cotton Bowl berth in 2019 before heading to Tallahassee. His 23-4 record with Florida State over the last two seasons proves his ability to turn things around.

With the pendulum ready to swing back, Norvell has the chance to salvage the season, starting this weekend by jumpstarting the offense and securing a win against his former team. It won’t be dominant, but the Noles will do enough on the offensive side while relying on their defense to create a few takeaways and short-field opportunities.

Florida State notches its first win of 2024 on Saturday, and they cover the spread in doing so.

Score Prediction: Florida State 31, Memphis 17

Best Bet: Florida State -7

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