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NBA: Mid-season Betting Report – ATS & Totals

Published on

January 25, 2024

Colin Lynch

As we’re just about halfway through the NBA season, we’re taking a look at all the NBA betting trends, including against the spread and over/ under. As they say, good teams win, great teams cover.

Yesterday we gave you our college basketball mid-season reports for ATS and totals. Now we’re breaking down the data from a variety of scenarios so far in the NBA this season. We’re looking at the best teams ATS, ATS at home, ATS on the road, ATS as an underdog, and ATS as a favorite. We’re also looking at over/ under records as well as over/ under records on the road and at home. This data can be extremely valuable when you’re looking to back or fade a team. And, of course, Vegas will be adjusting.

Against The Spread

Only three teams are covering above a 60% clip. Two of them may be expected, but the Magic are a bit of a surprise. They sit at 8th in the East, currently at 23-21, but come in at 28-16 ATS. Utah currently ranks 4th in the NBA ATS, but you’ll see they are excellent ATS at home and struggle a bit on the road. The Hawks sit at the bottom of the overall ATS rankings as they only cover 1/4 of their games. They’re by far the worst squad against the spread so far this season. Just above them are the Suns, the Hornets, and, surprisingly, the Bucks.

Team	ATS Record	Cover %	MOV	ATS +/-
Okla City	29-14-1	67.4%	8.3	+5.5
Philadelphia	27-15-0	64.3%	8.3	+3.4
Orlando	28-16-0	63.6%	0.3	+1.8
Utah	26-18-1	59.1%	-2.1	+1.9
New Orleans	25-18-1	58.1%	5.0	+3.6
New York	24-18-2	57.1%	4.6	+2.3
Indiana	24-18-3	57.1%	1.4	+2.2
Cleveland	22-18-2	55.0%	4.0	+3.0
Sacramento	23-19-0	54.8%	0.6	-2.4
LA Clippers	23-19-0	54.8%	5.9	+1.2
Minnesota	22-20-2	52.4%	5.7	+1.4
Boston	22-20-2	52.4%	9.7	+1.9
Chicago	23-21-1	52.3%	-1.4	-0.3
Dallas	23-21-0	52.3%	0.3	-0.9
Houston	21-20-2	51.2%	0.2	+2.1
Golden State	20-21-0	48.8%	-0.4	-2.3
Brooklyn	20-21-2	48.8%	-1.7	-0.1
Portland	21-23-0	47.7%	-9.0	-1.3
San Antonio	21-23-0	47.7%	-9.3	-2.2
Washington	20-22-1	47.6%	-9.5	-2.0
Detroit	20-23-1	46.5%	-10.2	-2.1
Toronto	20-23-1	46.5%	-2.0	-1.4
Denver	19-24-2	44.2%	5.0	-0.5
Miami	19-24-1	44.2%	0.0	-0.5
LA Lakers	20-26-0	43.5%	-0.7	-2.3
Memphis	19-25-0	43.2%	-5.1	-1.1
Milwaukee	17-26-1	39.5%	4.2	-2.7
Charlotte	16-26-0	38.1%	-11.0	-3.7
Phoenix	16-26-2	38.1%	2.4	-0.9
Atlanta	11-33-0	25.0%	-3.1	-3.7

Against The Spread At Home

As we said, Utah just covers at home. The Jazz and the Thunder are the only two teams in the NBA covering at a whopping 70% clip at home so far this season. A total of 11 teams cover above 60% of their games at home. Once again, the Hawks are at the bottom of the list as they only cover in 20% of their home games.

Team	ATS Record	Cover %	MOV	ATS +/-
Utah	16-5-0	76.2%	7.7	+9.2
Okla City	16-6-0	72.7%	10.5	+5.8
Philadelphia	16-7-0	69.6%	10.0	+2.9
Houston	15-8-1	65.2%	6.0	+5.1
Orlando	13-7-0	65.0%	5.6	+4.4
Brooklyn	12-7-2	63.2%	2.3	+1.9
Boston	13-8-0	61.9%	14.8	+4.6
New York	11-7-1	61.1%	8.5	+2.6
LA Clippers	14-9-0	60.9%	8.7	+2.2
New Orleans	14-9-0	60.9%	5.8	+2.7
Indiana	12-8-2	60.0%	6.5	+4.1
Minnesota	11-8-2	57.9%	9.0	+2.1
Chicago	13-10-1	56.5%	2.6	+1.1
Denver	11-9-1	55.0%	10.0	+1.7
Cleveland	11-10-1	52.4%	4.7	+1.5
Portland	9-10-0	47.4%	-5.1	-0.4
Dallas	11-13-0	45.8%	2.8	0.0
Toronto	10-12-0	45.5%	0.4	-1.1
Sacramento	10-12-0	45.5%	0.4	-4.3
Detroit	10-12-1	45.5%	-8.8	-2.8
San Antonio	9-11-0	45.0%	-7.8	-2.5
LA Lakers	10-13-0	43.5%	2.9	-1.0
Charlotte	8-11-0	42.1%	-9.7	-4.8
Milwaukee	9-13-1	40.9%	7.2	-1.2
Golden State	9-14-0	39.1%	-1.2	-5.0
Miami	8-13-0	38.1%	0.6	-3.1
Washington	7-13-0	35.0%	-10.1	-3.9
Phoenix	7-17-1	29.2%	2.0	-3.3
Memphis	5-14-0	26.3%	-7.1	-4.9
Atlanta	4-16-0	20.0%	-3.3	-6.3

Against The Spread on the Road

The top road warriors all seemingly exist in the West. The Magic are the only team covering above 60% in the East. The Kings, Thunder, Warriors, and Mavs have all been at 60% or higher on the road ATS so far this season. And take a wild guess who is at the bottom of the list, once again? Yup, the Hawks. They are clearly the most overvalued team ATS in ’23-’24.

Team	ATS Record	Cover %	MOV	ATS +/-
Sacramento	13-7-0	65.0%	0.9	-0.3
Okla City	13-8-1	61.9%	6.1	+5.2
Golden State	11-7-0	61.1%	0.6	+1.3
Orlando	14-9-0	60.9%	-4.3	-0.4
Dallas	12-8-0	60.0%	-2.6	-1.9
Washington	13-9-1	59.1%	-9.1	-0.3
Philadelphia	11-8-0	57.9%	6.2	+4.1
New Orleans	11-8-1	57.9%	6.5	+6.9
Memphis	14-11-0	56.0%	-3.7	+1.8
Cleveland	10-8-1	55.6%	2.8	+4.5
Indiana	11-9-1	55.0%	-3.6	+0.2
New York	13-11-1	54.2%	1.6	+2.1
Miami	11-11-1	50.0%	-0.6	+1.8
Phoenix	9-9-1	50.0%	3.0	+2.3
San Antonio	12-12-0	50.0%	-10.6	-1.9
Portland	12-13-0	48.0%	-12.0	-1.9
Minnesota	11-12-0	47.8%	2.7	+0.7
Toronto	10-11-1	47.6%	-4.4	-1.7
Chicago	10-11-0	47.6%	-6.0	-1.8
Detroit	10-11-0	47.6%	-11.7	-1.4
LA Clippers	9-10-0	47.4%	2.4	+0.1
Utah	10-13-1	43.5%	-10.6	-4.5
Boston	9-12-2	42.9%	5.0	-0.6
Milwaukee	8-12-0	40.0%	1.5	-3.8
LA Lakers	8-13-0	38.1%	-7.5	-6.5
Brooklyn	8-13-0	38.1%	-5.3	-1.9
Denver	8-15-1	34.8%	0.6	-2.5
Charlotte	8-15-0	34.8%	-12.1	-2.7
Houston	6-12-1	33.3%	-7.1	-1.7
Atlanta	7-16-0	30.4%	-3.2	-1.5

Against The Spread As An Underdog

Sacramento is back up top with the Warriors as the only two teams in the NBA covering above 70% of their games as an underdog. The Kings have made it look fairly easy as well, covering on average by 5.1 points. Yes, the Hawks are at the bottom ATS as a dog, but it’s the Clippers who have been shockingly bad as a dog. They’re just 1-6 ATS as an underdog.

Team	ATS Record	Cover %	MOV	ATS +/-
Sacramento	8-3-0	72.7%	2.3	+5.1
Golden State	12-5-0	70.6%	-3.6	+0.4
Okla City	10-5-1	66.7%	1.6	+4.6
New Orleans	12-6-1	66.7%	1.3	+5.5
Indiana	14-10-2	58.3%	-4.4	+1.3
Orlando	18-13-0	58.1%	-3.9	+0.5
Minnesota	6-5-0	54.6%	-2.8	+0.6
Utah	19-16-1	54.3%	-5.7	+0.2
Chicago	13-12-1	52.0%	-5.0	+0.3
Portland	20-20-0	50.0%	-9.5	-0.6
Milwaukee	1-1-0	50.0%	-21.5	-17.5
Washington	19-19-1	50.0%	-10.1	-1.5
Boston	1-1-0	50.0%	-4.0	-1.0
Detroit	19-20-1	48.7%	-10.5	-1.4
Houston	13-15-1	46.4%	-3.4	+2.2
Toronto	12-14-1	46.2%	-4.8	-0.4
Philadelphia	4-5-0	44.4%	-3.3	+0.8
Miami	8-10-0	44.4%	-2.6	+2.5
LA Lakers	8-10-0	44.4%	-7.6	-3.5
San Antonio	18-23-0	43.9%	-11.5	-3.6
New York	7-9-2	43.8%	-3.5	+0.6
Cleveland	7-9-0	43.8%	-3.9	+1.2
Memphis	14-18-0	43.8%	-7.3	-0.6
Brooklyn	11-15-2	42.3%	-6.6	-1.3
Charlotte	16-22-0	42.1%	-11.6	-3.1
Dallas	8-11-0	42.1%	-6.4	-2.3
Phoenix	5-7-0	41.7%	-5.3	-1.5
Denver	2-3-0	40.0%	-1.8	+3.1
Atlanta	6-16-0	27.3%	-6.0	-2.2
LA Clippers	1-6-0	14.3%	-14.6	-11.3

Against The Spread As A Favorite

The Spurs aren’t a favorite very often, but when they are, they cover. Philly has been a favorite 33 times so far this season, and they’ve covered in all but 10 of those matchups. Yes, the Hawks are at the bottom again with a terrible 5-17 record ATS as a favorite, but the Public keeps backing them. The Hornets are the only squad in the NBA yet to cover as a favorite.

Team	ATS Record	Cover %	MOV	ATS +/-
San Antonio	3-0-0	100.0%	20.7	+17.7
Utah	7-2-0	77.8%	12.6	+8.6
Orlando	10-3-0	76.9%	10.2	+5.0
Philadelphia	23-10-0	69.7%	11.4	+4.1
Okla City	19-9-0	67.9%	12.2	+6.0
New York	17-9-0	65.4%	10.2	+3.5
LA Clippers	22-13-0	62.9%	10.0	+3.7
Cleveland	15-9-2	62.5%	8.8	+4.0
Houston	8-5-1	61.5%	7.6	+1.8
Brooklyn	9-6-0	60.0%	7.7	+2.1
Dallas	15-10-0	60.0%	5.4	+0.2
Indiana	10-8-1	55.6%	9.3	+3.4
Chicago	10-9-0	52.6%	3.4	-1.1
Boston	21-19-2	52.5%	10.3	+2.0
New Orleans	13-12-0	52.0%	7.7	+2.2
Minnesota	16-15-2	51.6%	8.5	+1.6
Sacramento	15-16-0	48.4%	0.0	-5.1
Toronto	8-9-0	47.1%	2.4	-2.9
Denver	17-21-2	44.7%	5.8	-1.0
Miami	11-14-1	44.0%	1.7	-2.6
LA Lakers	12-16-0	42.9%	3.7	-1.6
Memphis	5-7-0	41.7%	0.6	-2.5
Milwaukee	16-25-1	39.0%	5.5	-2.0
Phoenix	11-19-2	36.7%	5.3	-0.7
Golden State	8-16-0	33.3%	1.8	-4.1
Washington	1-3-0	25.0%	-4.0	-7.0
Portland	1-3-0	25.0%	-4.0	-8.1
Detroit	1-3-0	25.0%	-7.3	-9.8
Atlanta	5-17-0	22.7%	-0.3	-5.2
Charlotte	0-4-0	0.0%	-5.3	-9.3

Over/ Under Records

There are certainly over teams, and there are under teams, but nothing is crazy dominant in either direction. No one covers either side more than 61.9% of the time. The Sixers as home favs and pairing that with the under proves to be a profitable play so far in 2023-2024.

Team	Over Record	Over %	Under %	Total +/-
Philadelphia	26-16-0	61.9%	38.1%	+2.2
Milwaukee	27-17-0	61.4%	38.6%	+5.5
Golden State	25-16-0	61.0%	39.0%	+4.4
San Antonio	26-17-1	60.5%	39.5%	+0.8
Detroit	26-17-1	60.5%	39.5%	+5.0
Okla City	26-18-0	59.1%	40.9%	+1.5
Indiana	25-18-2	58.1%	41.9%	+3.3
Utah	25-19-1	56.8%	43.2%	+3.7
Atlanta	24-20-0	54.6%	45.5%	+2.6
Dallas	23-20-1	53.5%	46.5%	+0.9
Washington	22-20-1	52.4%	47.6%	-0.2
Toronto	23-21-0	52.3%	47.7%	+3.5
Chicago	23-21-1	52.3%	47.7%	+0.7
LA Lakers	24-22-0	52.2%	47.8%	-0.3
Phoenix	22-21-1	51.2%	48.8%	-0.3
Minnesota	22-21-1	51.2%	48.8%	-2.1
New Orleans	22-21-1	51.2%	48.8%	+0.4
Brooklyn	21-21-1	50.0%	50.0%	+1.2
Sacramento	20-20-2	50.0%	50.0%	-0.2
Boston	22-22-0	50.0%	50.0%	0.0
Charlotte	21-21-0	50.0%	50.0%	-0.2
Cleveland	20-21-1	48.8%	51.2%	-1.0
Houston	20-22-1	47.6%	52.4%	+2.9
LA Clippers	19-22-1	46.3%	53.7%	+0.2
Portland	20-24-0	45.5%	54.6%	-1.6
Orlando	19-24-1	44.2%	55.8%	-3.1
New York	19-25-0	43.2%	56.8%	-0.8
Memphis	18-26-0	40.9%	59.1%	-3.6
Miami	18-26-0	40.9%	59.1%	-1.2
Denver	18-27-0	40.0%	60.0%	-1.2

Over/ Under Records at Home

This is where we see drastic over/under splits. The Spurs certainly play at a faster pace at home, as 75% of their home games have gone over the total. The Bucks, Pacers, and Kings are also right there as home-over teams. On the flip side, only 26.3% of Grizzlies games have gone over the total at home.

Team	Over Record	Over %	Under %	Total +/-
San Antonio	15-5-0	75.0%	25.0%	+6.9
Milwaukee	16-7-0	69.6%	30.4%	+6.1
Indiana	15-7-0	68.2%	31.8%	+3.2
Sacramento	14-7-1	66.7%	33.3%	+6.0
Golden State	15-8-0	65.2%	34.8%	+2.2
Philadelphia	14-9-0	60.9%	39.1%	+2.0
Atlanta	12-8-0	60.0%	40.0%	+4.1
Utah	12-8-1	60.0%	40.0%	+6.1
Okla City	13-9-0	59.1%	40.9%	+4.3
Phoenix	14-10-1	58.3%	41.7%	+0.8
Washington	11-8-1	57.9%	42.1%	+1.3
Brooklyn	12-9-0	57.1%	42.9%	+0.6
Boston	11-10-0	52.4%	47.6%	+2.9
Miami	11-10-0	52.4%	47.6%	+3.8
Chicago	12-12-0	50.0%	50.0%	-0.8
Dallas	12-12-0	50.0%	50.0%	+2.8
Detroit	11-11-1	50.0%	50.0%	+2.5
New Orleans	11-12-0	47.8%	52.2%	-1.1
Cleveland	10-11-1	47.6%	52.4%	-0.8
Charlotte	9-10-0	47.4%	52.6%	-2.7
LA Clippers	10-12-1	45.5%	54.6%	-0.1
Houston	10-13-1	43.5%	56.5%	+0.3
Denver	9-12-0	42.9%	57.1%	+2.5
Portland	8-11-0	42.1%	57.9%	-1.7
Toronto	9-13-0	40.9%	59.1%	-2.3
Orlando	8-12-0	40.0%	60.0%	-2.5
Minnesota	8-12-1	40.0%	60.0%	-6.9
LA Lakers	9-14-0	39.1%	60.9%	-4.5
New York	6-13-0	31.6%	68.4%	-5.0
Memphis	5-14-0	26.3%	73.7%	-7.5

Over/ Under on the Road

It’s not very surprising that Detroit is a road-over team, as their defense just doesn’t travel. Their road games go over the total by an average of 7.7 points, which is extremely high. The Lakers join the Pistons as the only other team that has 70+% of their road games go over. Miami has only had 30.4% of their home games go over the total.

Team	Over Record	Over %	Under %	Total +/-
Detroit	15-6-0	71.4%	28.6%	+7.7
LA Lakers	15-6-0	71.4%	28.6%	+5.1
Toronto	14-8-0	63.6%	36.4%	+9.3
Philadelphia	12-7-0	63.2%	36.8%	+2.3
Minnesota	14-9-0	60.9%	39.1%	+2.3
Okla City	13-9-0	59.1%	40.9%	-1.3
New Orleans	11-8-1	57.9%	42.1%	+2.6
Dallas	11-8-1	57.9%	42.1%	-1.4
Golden State	10-8-0	55.6%	44.4%	+7.1
Milwaukee	11-9-0	55.0%	45.0%	+5.6
Chicago	11-9-1	55.0%	45.0%	+2.5
Utah	13-11-0	54.2%	45.8%	+1.6
Houston	10-9-0	52.6%	47.4%	+6.2
Cleveland	10-9-0	52.6%	47.4%	-0.8
Indiana	10-9-2	52.6%	47.4%	+4.7
Charlotte	12-11-0	52.2%	47.8%	+1.9
New York	13-12-0	52.0%	48.0%	+2.3
Memphis	13-12-0	52.0%	48.0%	-0.7
Portland	12-13-0	48.0%	52.0%	-1.5
Atlanta	11-12-0	47.8%	52.2%	+1.2
San Antonio	11-12-1	47.8%	52.2%	-4.2
Washington	11-12-0	47.8%	52.2%	-1.5
Boston	11-12-0	47.8%	52.2%	-2.7
LA Clippers	9-10-0	47.4%	52.6%	+0.7
Orlando	10-12-1	45.5%	54.6%	-4.1
Brooklyn	9-11-1	45.0%	55.0%	+2.3
Phoenix	8-11-0	42.1%	57.9%	-1.8
Denver	9-15-0	37.5%	62.5%	-4.4
Sacramento	6-13-1	31.6%	68.4%	-7.1
Miami	7-16-0	30.4%	69.6%	-5.8

Related Topics:Against The Spread Info & Picks ATS Betting Info & Picks Betting Info & Picks Featured NBA Over/ under totals

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